Nintendo stock downgraded

MegaDrive20XX

Segatron Genesis... call me the wizard.
http://www.gamespot.com/news/6188111.html

The Wii is still outselling the PlayStation 3 four to one in Japan, despite stock shortages--but has the Wii reached the market saturation point? Analyst Hiroshi Kamide from KBC Securities Japan seems to think so, as the company downgraded Nintendo stock from 'buy' to 'hold' today, reports Bloomberg.

KBC also reduced its 12-month share price estimate by almost a third to ¥57,500 ($588), and its outlook for net income next fiscal year by eight percent to ¥391.6 billion ($4 billion). Kamide is concerned that demand for Nintendo's hardware--the DS handheld and the Wii console--will slow down, and that sales in the US and Europe have reached their peak. KBC downsized its sales predictions, with DS handheld shipments down six percent and Wii software sales down five percent from their previous forecasts.

The analyst said that he believed the company had seen "amazing growth," but from now on "it is reasonable to expect a tougher trading environment."

Nintendo stock has dropped 22 percent so far this year, after seeing phenomenal growth in both 2006 and 2007. The company's shares have also been battered by the tumbling US dollar, which is near a 13-year-low against the Japanese currency after falling below 100 yen earlier in the week.

Nonetheless, shares in Nintendo climbed five percent to ¥52,100 ($530) on the Osaka stock exchange yesterday.
 
Strubes said:
Nintendo needs to get production up and running really soon.
Well, according to this article, the market for Nintendo consoles, across the world is becoming saturated. So, if they're right, it wouldn't matter how many Wii's they make because they wouldn't be able to sell them.

Personally, I'm not sure exactly what, if anything this article is basing this on. It seems more like random speculation than prediction, although I think we might see the game industry as a whole taking a hit because of the recession.
 
I'm one of the gamers that are waiting to actually see one on the shelf, and then say, "Hmmm... I need to save up my extra jingle and get me one of those."
They are still not readily available around where I live. There are plenty of the PS3 and 360 on the shelf.

I'm not yet saturated. :)
 
retro junkie said:
I'm one of the gamers that are waiting to actually see one on the shelf, and then say, "Hmmm... I need to save up my extra jingle and get me one of those."
They are still not readily available around where I live. There are plenty of the PS3 and 360 on the shelf.

I'm not yet saturated. :)
Neither is the rest of the world. Everyone wants a Wii and no one has one, it can't be saturated.
 
I wonder if they got paid off. have they seen how many ps2 systems sold?

I can't believe 1 report can negatively effect a company this much.

Nintendo can't be close to saturation. they sold so many systems over the holidays... how is it hard to understand the lack of sales right now?

maybe they are basing the new sales figures on the GBA and Gamecube historical sales points...

BV :hat
 
Bluevoodu said:
I can't believe 1 report can negatively effect a company this much.
It actually isn't just one report. Their stock was declining before this report came out. I'm not exactly sure why it's declining since sales show no signs of slowing down. Maybe they're just falling into a slump like the rest of the world's economy, but I'm not sure where they're getting this market saturation crap from.
 
Homicidal Cherry53 said:
It actually isn't just one report. Their stock was declining before this report came out. I'm not exactly sure why it's declining since sales show no signs of slowing down. Maybe they're just falling into a slump like the rest of the world's economy, but I'm not sure where they're getting this market saturation crap from.
They might not slow signs of slowing down, but their supply and demand is way off base.
 
Nintendo's probably "sandbagging" for a recession. As in downgrade their stock, post a smaller than expected forcast, and survive a recession in good order. Whether or not it's legal, it may be a wise choice.
 
Yeah, I agree with Dart. The politics of economics seem to be at work here. I really don't see the Wii being oversaturated anywhere just yet. People outside of the videogame industry have always underestimated it's potential, and now that Nintendo has managed to enlarge that audience no one really knows how far this could go.

Besides, market penetration has historically been the main problem facing hardware developers, dealing with market over saturation would be a welcome change of pace.
 
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